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Latest Posts

The US Economy Will Not Collapse

April 6, 2020
There is plenty of concern that the US economy won’t ever come back from the sudden stop resulting from the coronavirus.  Should we sell stocks, buy gold, or head for the hills? The Balance has posted an article recently listing ten reasons to be confident our economy will recover: https://www.thebalance.com/us-economy-wont-collapse-3980688 Long-term, optimism about America’s future …
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What Would a Twelve Year Low Feel Like?

March 21, 2020
This week, we finished one of the worst declines in stock market history.  Declines were widespread, affecting all major equity asset classes, and even spreading to bonds, as selling became relentless. People are starting to ask, with reason, whether the stock market can ever recover.  Younger people, who have not experienced a true bear market …
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March 17, 2020
Trading when the market is having trouble finding a price – as in the middle of a panic such as the one we are experiencing now – is risky business. That is why it is best to trade as little as possible (Passive Low cost) and to own funds whose average daily volume (ADV) is …
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Coronavirus and the Misbehavior of Markets

February 28, 2020
Markets do not follow the tidy statistical model most people have come to think they do. For example, this week (February 24-28, 2020) has seen the biggest declines since the 2008 market collapse. The potential disruption from the coronavirus that is now sweeping the world has been known for over a month, and yet asset …
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Michael Garber, CFP®, Financial Planner

Tax Season 2019: Reporting Virtual Currency Transactions

February 18, 2020
If you bought anything using bitcoin or other virtual currency in 2019, every transaction must be reported on your 2019 taxes.  You will be taxed on gain or loss on each transaction from the time you bought the virtual currency until you spent it. The IRS is stepping up enforcement.  They have sent letters and …
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Coronavirus unknowns and market turns

February 1, 2020
The Efficient-Market Hypothesis states that asset prices reflect all available information. Most real people, as opposed to institutions or insiders (who are legally barred from trading on their information), are “price takers,” meaning that they must trade at prevailing prices, with their transactions being unable to affect the market price. The ordinary person’s buying or …
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2020

Best funds for Me may not be best funds for Thee

January 20, 2020
At year end, articles about market predictions, or what funds to buy, tend to appear more frequently. I am always skeptical of predictions concerning which funds or sectors (or individual stocks) will be “best for the coming year.”  I wish I had kept a running log of how these predictions tend to turn out.  Generally, …
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Toward a Life of No Regrets

December 2, 2019
We are advised everywhere to “live a life of no regrets.”  This is easier said than done.   A quick tour of the internet reveals stories of people who wish they had not cheated on a spouse, or who regret not seizing an opportunity in a moment that would not come by again. Most people’s thoughts …
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Why Do Some Investors Shun Bonds, Really?

October 14, 2019
A recent post at White Coat Investor suggests that investors should not fear rising interest rates when considering whether to include bonds in their portfolio. https://www.whitecoatinvestor.com/bond-investors-should-not-fear-rising-interest-rates/  It’s worth reading in its entirety.  The main concerns about bonds and bond funds are that returns are poor, and bond funds can decline with rising interest rates. All …
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